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13.03.2010

Long term forecast for Tromsø (Troms)

Updated at 6:33. Next update is expected around 10:20.

The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)

Nordland og Troms Friday and Saturday: Lørdag er det lokalt stor snøskredfare i Nordland og Troms.

Troms Saturday and Sunday: Skiftende bris, periodevis nordøstlig liten kuling 12 på kysten. I kveld kan hende nordlig stiv kuling 15 på kysten vest for Lyngsalpan. Søndag liten kuling 12 mellom nordvest og nordøst på kysten. Snøbyger. Søndag kveld sørøstlig frisk bris 10. Avtagende bygeaktivitet utover søndag.

Troms Monday: Nordlig bris. Liten kuling utsatte steder på kysten. Enkelte snøbyger, vesentlig på kysten. Uendret eller litt lavere temperatur.

Nord-Norge Tuesday to Friday: Nordvestlig bris senere bris av skiftende retning. Snø og snøbyger, forøvrig lange perioder med pent vær. Små temperaturendringer.

Can the forecast be trusted?

The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.

  • Rather certain
  • Somewhat uncertain
  • Uncertain

Tomorrow
14/03/2010

Snow showers -2° Light breeze, 2 m/s from south
Rather certain
Rather certain
Rather certain

Snow showers. Light breeze, 2 m/s from south. 1.8 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Monday
15/03/2010

Fair -4° Gentle breeze, 4 m/s from south
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain
Rather certain

Fair. Gentle breeze, 4 m/s from south. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Tuesday
16/03/2010

Cloudy -6° Light breeze, 2 m/s from southwest
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain
Rather certain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from southwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Wednesday
17/03/2010

Partly cloudy -6° Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southwest
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain

Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Thursday
18/03/2010

Partly cloudy -6° Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southeast
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain

Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Friday
19/03/2010

Cloudy -6° Light breeze, 3 m/s from southeast
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Saturday
20/03/2010

Fair -6° Light breeze, 3 m/s from south
Uncertain
Uncertain
Rather certain

Fair. Light breeze, 3 m/s from south. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Sunday
21/03/2010

Cloudy -6° Light breeze, 3 m/s from east-southeast
Uncertain
Uncertain
Rather certain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from east-southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.

Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).

Probability forecast

The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.

The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.

The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.

Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.

Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).

What is the probability for different weather?

The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.

  • Temperature:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
  • Precipitation:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
Probability forecast for Tromsø (Troms) Tuesday: Highs probably between -7,0° C and -4,9° C. Lows between -11,4° and -6,7°.	Wednesday: Highs probably between -8,0° C and -4,4° C. Lows between -12,4° and -6,5°.	Thursday: Highs probably between -7,7° C and -3,8° C. Lows between -12,9° and -6,5°.	Friday: Highs probably between -7,8° C and -3,7° C. Lows between -13,2° and -6,7°.	Saturday: Highs probably between -8,1° C and -1,3° C. Lows between -14,0° and -3,4°.	Sunday: Highs probably between -8,0° C and 0,0° C. Lows between -13,8° and -2,1°.	Monday: Highs probably between -11,9° C and -2,3° C. Lows between -14,2° and -3,2°.	Tuesday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Tuesday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Tuesday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Tuesday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Thursday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Thursday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Thursday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Thursday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Friday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Friday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Friday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Friday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Saturday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Saturday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Saturday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Saturday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Sunday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Sunday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Sunday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Sunday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Monday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Monday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] [eng:punkt/sannsyn:forklaring]
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