Long term forecast for Kringsjå in Oslo (Oslo)
The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)
Oslo Sunday and Monday: Skiftende bris. Skiftende skydekke, oppholdsvær. I natt lokal tåke. Fra mandag ettermiddag sørlig bris. Skyet. Om kvelden litt sludd, snø i høyereliggende strøk. Lokal tåke.
Oslo Tuesday: Sørlig bris. Regn, snø i høyereliggende områder. Fra utpå dagen vestlig bris. Opphold og til dels pent vær. Tilskyende igjen om kvelden.
Østafjells og fjellet i Sør-Norge Wednesday: Sørlig bris, kuling i fjellet. Utover dagen regn fra sør, snø i indre og høyereliggende områder. Uendret temperatur.
Sør-Norge sør for Stad og Dovre Thursday to Sunday: Først i perioden for det meste sørlig vind, av og til sørøstlig kuling på kysten i sørvest. Perioder med regn, snø i fjellet. Uendret temperatur. Senere er det svært usikkert. Lavtrykk kan gi perioder med kuling på kysten, og nedbør. Uendret eller litt lavere temperatur.
Can the forecast be trusted?
The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.
- Rather certain
- Somewhat uncertain
- Uncertain
Tomorrow
|
|
5° |
|
|
Rather certain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Fair. Light breeze, 3 m/s from southwest. 2.5 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Wednesday
24/03/2010
|
3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rain. Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southeast. 2.4 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Thursday
25/03/2010
|
5° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from south. 1.2 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Friday
26/03/2010
|
|
4° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rain. Light breeze, 3 m/s from east-northeast. 6 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Saturday
27/03/2010
|
|
3° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from north-northwest. 3.5 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Sunday
28/03/2010
|
|
3° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from east. 0.9 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Monday
29/03/2010
|
|
2° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from west. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Tuesday
30/03/2010
|
|
2° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from north. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.
Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).
Probability forecast
The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.
The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.
The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.
Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.
Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).
What is the probability for different weather?
The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.
- Temperature:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
- Precipitation:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
[eng:punkt/sannsyn:forklaring]
