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18.03.2010

Long term forecast for Vinstra in Nord-Fron (Oppland)

Updated at 19:05. Next update is expected around 22:20.

The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)

Thursday and Friday

Oppland: Fra utpå natt til fredag lokalt vanskelige kjøreforhold på de høyereliggende fjellovergangene.

Oppland: Bris omkring sørvest, fra i natt sørlig bris. Stort sett oppholdsvær. Fra tidlig fredag litt regn, snø over 800-1000 m. Lokal tåke. Fra utpå ettermiddagen sørvestlig bris og etter hvert noe lettere vær, først i sør.

Saturday

Oppland: Bris omkring vest. I vestlige og nordlige områder litt regn, snø over 900-1000 m. For øvrig stort sett opphold og noe sol.

Sunday

Østafjells og fjellet i Sør-Norge: Bris omkring nord. Spredt regn , snø i indre strøk og i fjellet. Til kvelden pent vær, først i nord. Litt lavere temperatur.

Monday to Thursday

Sør-Norge sør for Stad og Dovre: Nordlig bris, opp i kuling på kysten i vest og i fjellet. Lange perioder med pent vær. Litt lavere temperatur.

Can the forecast be trusted?

The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.

  • Rather certain
  • Somewhat uncertain
  • Uncertain

Tomorrow
19/03/2010

Partly cloudy Light air, 1 m/s from west-northwest
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain
Rather certain

Partly cloudy. Light air, 1 m/s from west-northwest. 2.5 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Saturday
20/03/2010

Partly cloudy Light air, 1 m/s from east-southeast
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain
Rather certain

Partly cloudy. Light air, 1 m/s from east-southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Sunday
21/03/2010

Fair Light breeze, 3 m/s from north
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Fair. Light breeze, 3 m/s from north. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Monday
22/03/2010

Cloudy Light breeze, 2 m/s from northwest
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from northwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Tuesday
23/03/2010

Cloudy -1° Light breeze, 2 m/s from north-northeast
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from north-northeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Wednesday
24/03/2010

Partly cloudy -1° Light breeze, 2 m/s from west-southwest
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from west-southwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Thursday
25/03/2010

Cloudy Light breeze, 2 m/s from south-southwest
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from south-southwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Friday
26/03/2010

Cloudy Light breeze, 2 m/s from south-southwest
Uncertain
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from south-southwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Saturday
27/03/2010

Cloudy -1° Light breeze, 2 m/s from east-southeast
Uncertain
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from east-southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.

Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).

Probability forecast

The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.

The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.

The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.

Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.

Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).

What is the probability for different weather?

The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.

  • Temperature:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
  • Precipitation:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
Probability forecast for Vinstra in Nord-Fron (Oppland) Monday: Highs probably between -1,5° C and 2,5° C. Lows between -7,2° and -0,2°.	Tuesday: Highs probably between -2,1° C and 3,0° C. Lows between -9,0° and -1,1°.	Wednesday: Highs probably between -2,4° C and 3,1° C. Lows between -10,2° and -2,2°.	Thursday: Highs probably between -2,4° C and 4,3° C. Lows between -10,5° and -1,0°.	Friday: Highs probably between -3,0° C and 3,5° C. Lows between -10,9° and 0,3°.	Saturday: Highs probably between -3,5° C and 4,3° C. Lows between -11,1° and 0,3°.	Monday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Monday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Monday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Monday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Tuesday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Tuesday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Tuesday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Tuesday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Wednesday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Thursday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Thursday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Thursday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Thursday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Friday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Friday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Friday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Friday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Saturday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Saturday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Saturday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Saturday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] [eng:punkt/sannsyn:forklaring]
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