Long term forecast for Lesja (Oppland)
The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)
Wednesday and Thursday
Oppland: Sørvestlig bris. Skyet eller delvis skyet. I sør stort sett oppholdsvær. I nord spredt snø, torsdag litt regn av og til, sludd eller snø over 600-800 m, om kvelden oppholdsvær. Mulighet for lokal tåke.
Fjellstrøkene Trollheimen - Strynefjellet: Sørvestlig frisk bris utsatte steder, torsdag stiv kuling utsatte steder. For det meste skyet. Perioder med snø, mest i vest, torsdag nedbør som sludd eller regn under ca. 900 m.
Friday
Oppland: Sørvestlig bris. Litt regn av og til, sludd eller snø over 600-800 m.
Fjellstrøkene Trollheimen - Strynefjellet: Sørlig bris, frisk bris i høyfjellet, om ettermiddagen forbigående opp i kuling utsatte steder. Litt snø av og til, sludd eller regn under ca 800-1000 m.
Saturday
Østafjells og fjellet i Sør-Norge: Lørdag vestlig bris, opp i frisk bris på kysten og i fjellet. Snøbyger vest i fjellet, ellers opphold og noe sol. Litt stigende temperatur.
Sunday to Wednesday
Sør-Norge: Søndag ventes nordøstlig opp i kuling og fortsatt noe nedbør nord for Stad, ellers minkende vind og stort sett oppholdsvær. Mandag til og med onsdag ventes rolige vindforhold, av og til frisk bris på kysten av Vestlandet. Litt nedbør i ytre strøk nord for Stad, ellers opphold og perioder med sol. Litt lavere temperatur.
Can the forecast be trusted?
The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.
- Rather certain
- Somewhat uncertain
- Uncertain
Tomorrow
|
|
2° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rather certain
|
Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from east. 0.5 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Saturday
20/03/2010
|
|
4° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rather certain
|
Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from west-northwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Sunday
21/03/2010
|
-3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from north. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Monday
22/03/2010
|
|
-4° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from north-northwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Tuesday
23/03/2010
|
|
-5° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from south-southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Wednesday
24/03/2010
|
|
-6° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from northeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Thursday
25/03/2010
|
|
-6° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from north-northeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Friday
26/03/2010
|
|
-6° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from west-northwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.
Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).
Probability forecast
The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.
The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.
The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.
Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.
Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).
What is the probability for different weather?
The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.
- Temperature:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
- Precipitation:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
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