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18.03.2010

Long term forecast for Rognan in Saltdal (Nordland)

Updated at 22:20. Next update is expected around 6:00.

The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)

Salten, Ofoten og Lofoten Thursday and Friday: Nordøstlig frisk bris 10 utsatte steder, av og til liten kuling 12. Stort sett opphold. Perioder med sol, særlig i nord. Fredag østlig bris, av og til liten kuling 12 utsatte steder. Pent vær, men om ettermiddagen tilskyende og litt snø i grensetraktene og lengst sør.

Saltfjellet, Salten og Ofoten Saturday: Austlig bris, fra lørdag morgen nordaustlig frisk bris 10 på kysten, om ettermiddagen periodevis liten kuling 12. Snøbyger, men lørdag kveld lettskyet oppholdsvær.

Nordland Sunday: Først på dagen nordøstlig frisk bris på kysten i nord, ellers skiftende bris. Spredte snøbyger i nord, ellers opphold. Utover ettermiddagen sørvestlig liten kuling, helt i nord ventes nordøstlig. Snø. Stort sett uendret temperatur.

Nord-Norge Monday to Thursday: Nordvestlig bris, dreiende nordøstlig, først i nord, kuling på kysten. Snøbyger, vesentlig i ytre strøk. Uendret temperatur, i slutten av perioden litt synkende.

Can the forecast be trusted?

The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.

  • Rather certain
  • Somewhat uncertain
  • Uncertain

Tomorrow
20/03/2010

Snow -2° Light air, 1 m/s
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain

Snow. Light air, 1 m/s from south-southeast. 6 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Sunday
21/03/2010

Snow -3° Light breeze, 3 m/s from southwest
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain

Snow. Light breeze, 3 m/s from southwest. 2.9 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Monday
22/03/2010

Snow -4° Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southwest
Somewhat uncertain
Somewhat uncertain
Rather certain

Snow. Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southwest. 2.6 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Tuesday
23/03/2010

Partly cloudy -5° Light breeze, 2 m/s from southeast
Somewhat uncertain
Uncertain
Rather certain

Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from southeast. 0.1 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Wednesday
24/03/2010

Partly cloudy -7° Light breeze, 2 m/s from northwest
Somewhat uncertain
Uncertain
Rather certain

Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from northwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Thursday
25/03/2010

Partly cloudy -6° Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southeast
Somewhat uncertain
Uncertain
Rather certain

Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Friday
26/03/2010

Cloudy -5° Light breeze, 3 m/s from southeast
Uncertain
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

Saturday
27/03/2010

Cloudy -5° Light breeze, 2 m/s from south-southwest
Uncertain
Uncertain
Somewhat uncertain

Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from south-southwest. 2.6 mm precipitation per 24 hours.

The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.

Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).

Probability forecast

The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.

The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.

The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.

Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.

Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).

What is the probability for different weather?

The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.

  • Temperature:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
  • Precipitation:
  • 50 % probability
  • 30 % probability
Probability forecast for Rognan in Saltdal (Nordland) Monday: Highs probably between -7,4° C and -2,9° C. Lows between -14,2° and -4,6°.	Tuesday: Highs probably between -8,5° C and -2,7° C. Lows between -13,7° and -4,1°.	Wednesday: Highs probably between -9,5° C and -3,9° C. Lows between -16,3° and -6,7°.	Thursday: Highs probably between -8,4° C and -3,0° C. Lows between -15,7° and -4,8°.	Friday: Highs probably between -8,1° C and 0,8° C. Lows between -15,0° and -2,4°.	Saturday: Highs probably between -8,0° C and 1,9° C. Lows between -14,2° and -0,6°.	Sunday: Highs probably between -13,9° C and 0,3° C. Lows between -14,2° and -0,5°.	Monday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Monday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Monday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Monday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Tuesday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Tuesday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Tuesday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Tuesday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Wednesday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Wednesday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Thursday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb2] Thursday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Thursday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Thursday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Friday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Friday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] Friday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Friday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Saturday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Saturday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Saturday 12–18: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Saturday 18–24: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Sunday 00–06: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb4] Sunday 06–12: [eng:punkt/sannsyn:nedb3] [eng:punkt/sannsyn:forklaring]
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