Long term forecast for Ålesund (Møre og Romsdal)
The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)
Møre og Romsdal Saturday and Sunday: Sør eller sørvestlig frisk bris 10 m/s utsatte steder, liten kuling 12 på kysten av Sunnmøre, i formiddag minkende til skiftende bris. Skiftende skydekke, litt regn og yr, snø over 500-700 m. Sent i ettermiddag økning til nordøstlig liten kuling på kysten, først i nord, i kveld til dels stiv kuling 15 på Søre-Sunnmøre. Enkelte snøbyger, regnbyger på kysten.I morgen søndag nordøstlig bris, liten kuling på kysten, søndag kveld frisk bris. Først på dagen skyet og regn av og til i sørlige strøk, snø over 300-500 m. Ellers stort sett oppholdsvær og perioder med sol.
Hordaland, Sogn og Fjordane og Møre og Romsdal Saturday: Lokalt stor skredfare, herunder både is og snø, på Vestlandet nord om Rogaland.
Sør-Norge Monday: Sørlig bris. Stort sett oppholdsvær. Kan hende litt sol i nord. Små temperaturendringer.
Møre og Romsdal og Trøndelag Tuesday to Friday: Sørøstlig bris og lite eller ingen nedbør, men midt i perioden forbigående sørvestlig bris og litt regn. Snø i fjellet. Litt stigende temperatur.
Can the forecast be trusted?
The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.
- Rather certain
- Somewhat uncertain
- Uncertain
Tomorrow
|
|
3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Fair. Moderate breeze, 6 m/s from northeast. 2.7 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Monday
22/03/2010
|
5° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light air, 1 m/s from northwest. 0.7 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Tuesday
23/03/2010
|
|
4° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Gentle breeze, 4 m/s from northeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Wednesday
24/03/2010
|
|
5° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Gentle breeze, 4 m/s from east-northeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Thursday
25/03/2010
|
|
6° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Cloudy. Gentle breeze, 4 m/s from south-southwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Friday
26/03/2010
|
|
6° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Gentle breeze, 5 m/s from north-northeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Saturday
27/03/2010
|
6° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Partly cloudy. Gentle breeze, 5 m/s from north-northeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Sunday
28/03/2010
|
|
3° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Partly cloudy. Fresh breeze, 8 m/s from north-northeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.
Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).
Probability forecast
The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.
The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.
The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.
Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.
Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).
What is the probability for different weather?
The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.
- Temperature:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
- Precipitation:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
[eng:punkt/sannsyn:forklaring]
