Long term forecast for Nordkapp (Jan Mayen)
The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)
Havområdene D1, D2 Tuesday and Wednesday: Frisk bris av skiftende retning, fra onsdag ettermiddag nordaustlig frisk bris. Sluddbyger med dårlig sikt.
Can the forecast be trusted?
The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.
- Rather certain
- Somewhat uncertain
- Uncertain
Tomorrow
|
|
-7° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Partly cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from northeast. 1.0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Thursday
18/03/2010
|
-3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Uncertain
|
Snow. Moderate breeze, 7 m/s from north. 13 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Friday
19/03/2010
|
|
-5° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Snow. Fresh breeze, 9 m/s from north. 1.1 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Saturday
20/03/2010
|
|
-7° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Snow. Strong breeze, 13 m/s from northwest. 2.0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Sunday
21/03/2010
|
|
-5° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Snow. Strong breeze, 12 m/s from north-northwest. 2.3 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Monday
22/03/2010
|
|
-3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Snow. Fresh breeze, 10 m/s from north. 1.5 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Tuesday
23/03/2010
|
-4° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Cloudy. Fresh breeze, 8 m/s from north-northwest. 1.2 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Wednesday
24/03/2010
|
|
-4° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Snow. Fresh breeze, 10 m/s from north-northwest. 0.9 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Thursday
25/03/2010
|
|
-4° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Cloudy. Moderate breeze, 7 m/s from west. 0.5 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.
Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).
Probability forecast
The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.
The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.
The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.
Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.
Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).
What is the probability for different weather?
The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.
- Temperature:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
- Precipitation:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
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