Long term forecast for Skoger kirke in Drammen (Buskerud)
The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)
Telemark og Buskerud Sunday: I vestlige fjellområder lokalt stor snøskredfare.
Buskerud Sunday and Monday: Skiftende bris. Etter hvert opphold og lettere skydekke. Utpå mandag sørlig bris. Skyet eller delvis skyet, spredte regn- og sluddbyger, snøbyger i høyereliggende strøk. Lokal tåke tidlig og sent på dagen.
Østafjells Tuesday: Sørlig bris. Regn, snø i indre og høyereliggende områder. Fra utpå dagen vestlig bris. Byger vest i Agder, ellers oppholdsvær. Litt stigende temperatur.
Sør-Norge sør for Stad og Dovre Wednesday to Saturday: Bris av skiftende retning, av og til sørøstlig kuling på kysten i vest. Regn av og til i vest. Snø i fjellet. I østlige områder lite eller ingen nedbør og periodevis litt sol. Uendret eller litt stigende temperatur.
Can the forecast be trusted?
The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.
- Rather certain
- Somewhat uncertain
- Uncertain
Tomorrow
|
|
3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from south-southeast. 0.3 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Tuesday
23/03/2010
|
5° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rain showers. Light breeze, 2 m/s from west. 3.3 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Wednesday
24/03/2010
|
5° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rain. Gentle breeze, 4 m/s from south-southeast. 2.0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Thursday
25/03/2010
|
|
8° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from west-southwest. 2.7 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Friday
26/03/2010
|
|
4° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rain. Light breeze, 3 m/s from north-northeast. 9 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Saturday
27/03/2010
|
|
4° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from north-northeast. 3.5 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Sunday
28/03/2010
|
|
4° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from west-northwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Monday
29/03/2010
|
|
4° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from north-northwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Tuesday
30/03/2010
|
|
3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from south-southwest. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.
Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).
Probability forecast
The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.
The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.
The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.
Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.
Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).
What is the probability for different weather?
The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.
- Temperature:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
- Precipitation:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
[eng:punkt/sannsyn:forklaring]
