Long term forecast for Åmli (Aust-Agder)
The meteorologist’s forecast (in Norwegian)
Indre strøk av Aust-Agder Saturday and Sunday: Vestlig bris. Skyet eller delvis skyet, stort sett oppholdsvær. Søndag skiftende bris. Skiftende skydekke. Enkelte regnbyger om formiddagen og ettermiddagen, snøbyger over ca 600 meter, ellers oppholdsvær.
Sør-Norge Monday: Sørlig bris. Stort sett oppholdsvær. Kan hende litt sol i nord. Små temperaturendringer.
Sør-Norge sør for Stad og Dovre Tuesday to Friday: Bris mellom sørøst og sørvest, av og til kuling på kysten i vest. Regn av og til i vest. Snø i fjellet. I østlige områder lite eller ingen nedbør og periodevis litt sol. Uendret eller litt stigende temperatur.
Can the forecast be trusted?
The long term forecasts shows the most predictable weather information. Each forecasted element, the weather symbol, temperature, and wind, is individually marked by a colour which indicates how certain it is.
- Rather certain
- Somewhat uncertain
- Uncertain
Tomorrow
|
|
6° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Fair. Gentle breeze, 5 m/s from west-northwest. 0.1 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Monday
22/03/2010
|
7° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from southwest. 0.8 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Tuesday
23/03/2010
|
3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rain. Light breeze, 3 m/s from northwest. 3.7 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Wednesday
24/03/2010
|
|
3° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rain. Light breeze, 3 m/s from southwest. 2.5 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Thursday
25/03/2010
|
|
4° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 2 m/s from southeast. 0 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Friday
26/03/2010
|
|
2° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Rather certain
|
Rain. Light breeze, 3 m/s from south. 6 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Saturday
27/03/2010
|
|
2° |
|
|
Uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from north. 2.9 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
Sunday
28/03/2010
|
|
2° |
|
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Somewhat uncertain
|
Cloudy. Light breeze, 3 m/s from west. 0.9 mm precipitation per 24 hours.
The temperature and wind forecasts are valid for 12 noon, the symbol for 12 noon to 6 pm. Forecasts for the morning, evening and night are available in the detailed long term forecast.
Background, facts and advice on how to use the long term forecasts (in Norwegian).
Probability forecast
The long term forecast in the table above contains the most predictable weather information, and how certain we are that the forecast is correct.
The probability forecast in the diagram below indicates the probabilities for different possible developments of the temperature and precipitation. The long term forecast is given by black lines.
The grey fields (for temperature) and the blue fields (for precipitation) indicate the range of possible weather developments which are predominantly probable (80 percent). The width of the fields ir proportional to the degree of uncertainty of the forecast.
Within these fields, it is considered most probable (50 percent) that the development hits the dark part. Still it is somewhat probable (30 percent) that it hits the lighter part outside the dark.
Tips, advice and facts about the probability forecast (in Norwegian).
What is the probability for different weather?
The long term forecast (from the above table) is indicated with a black line.
- Temperature:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
- Precipitation:
- 50 % probability
- 30 % probability
[eng:punkt/sannsyn:forklaring]
